johnwright03
07-30 11:51 AM
Wow...You seem to be a Guru in this field...!!! expert in the lingo too....
Dont even think about it unless you are a quant and have resources that can compete with the Hedge funds. Commodities do not behave like stocks, you need to be able to model prices using multi variate models. Then there is jumps. You should be familiar with jump diffusion/step functions etc. To be able to model these you will need to use a factor model like the Pilipovic model. Even then it will only be an approximation.
Commodities are purchased as futures. Futures are derivatives and you will need to hedge them. A perfect hedge for a future is 1:1 in the spot. Since there is no arb here you will have to use options. To model the price of an option you will have to be a master of Black-Scholes option pricing model or a similar method like monte carlo simulation. Even if you figure all this out you will have to delta hedge. Delta hedging commodity options is very expensive, you will bleed money. Look up Hodges-Nuberger model for delta hedging options on derivatives.
I suggest a book by Daragana Pilipovic called "Energy Risk", buy it and read it. After that if you still feel you can take on hundreds of computers running parallel with teams of quants modelling prices and programs trading algarithimic models; then Good luck!!
Trade stocks as modelling stocks is comparitively easy. Stocks have drift (mu). If you are saturated with stocks look into options and Fixed income. Leave all these complicated stuff to the pros. You have better chance of hitting a jackpot in a casino than making money in trading commodities.
Dont even think about it unless you are a quant and have resources that can compete with the Hedge funds. Commodities do not behave like stocks, you need to be able to model prices using multi variate models. Then there is jumps. You should be familiar with jump diffusion/step functions etc. To be able to model these you will need to use a factor model like the Pilipovic model. Even then it will only be an approximation.
Commodities are purchased as futures. Futures are derivatives and you will need to hedge them. A perfect hedge for a future is 1:1 in the spot. Since there is no arb here you will have to use options. To model the price of an option you will have to be a master of Black-Scholes option pricing model or a similar method like monte carlo simulation. Even if you figure all this out you will have to delta hedge. Delta hedging commodity options is very expensive, you will bleed money. Look up Hodges-Nuberger model for delta hedging options on derivatives.
I suggest a book by Daragana Pilipovic called "Energy Risk", buy it and read it. After that if you still feel you can take on hundreds of computers running parallel with teams of quants modelling prices and programs trading algarithimic models; then Good luck!!
Trade stocks as modelling stocks is comparitively easy. Stocks have drift (mu). If you are saturated with stocks look into options and Fixed income. Leave all these complicated stuff to the pros. You have better chance of hitting a jackpot in a casino than making money in trading commodities.
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GCard_Dream
01-31 11:21 AM
If you are not using a sub labor and filing 140 in a week or so, there is nothing for you to worry about.
Thanks for the reply.
I am not using substitution labor. I do not condone any one who does it for monetary reasons.
So the rule hasn't taken affect yet huh! I will definitely send my application out in premium processing this week. Just worried that I have passed the 45-day time period :( . Does my I-140 have to be approved before this rule is implemented, or just that my application needs to be filed ?
Thanks for the reply.
I am not using substitution labor. I do not condone any one who does it for monetary reasons.
So the rule hasn't taken affect yet huh! I will definitely send my application out in premium processing this week. Just worried that I have passed the 45-day time period :( . Does my I-140 have to be approved before this rule is implemented, or just that my application needs to be filed ?
fasterthanlight�
06-07 11:07 AM
Skinning the wheel is too easy, all you have to do is plop the graphic down and set the blending accordingly. Leaving the wheel stock makes it harder because you gotta get the elliptical out.
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drirshad
06-07 09:39 PM
06/07/2008: Congressional Legislative Strategy Shifts from H-1B to EB Green Card Options for Recruiting and Retaining Required Highly Skilled Foreign Workers from oh-law
* Report indicates that the H-1B visa cap adjustment efforts have been stymied by the legislative deadlock over broader immigration reform despite some bi-partisan efforts, and supporters of highly skilled foreign workers are focusing on exempting these foreign workers from the national annual limit for the employment-based immigration (140,000), particularly for the U.S. advanced degree holders, where these supporters can make the strongest case for keeping these workers in the U.S. with lesser challenges from opponents than the option to increase the number of national annual limit from 140,000 to either 290,000 or even 400,000. This strategy is evidenced by the efforts of Rep. Zoe Lofgren, Chairwoman of House Judiciary Immigration Subcommittee and Sen. Barbara Boxer in the Senate. As we reported it, these legislators have introduced several bills both in the House and the Senate to achieve the strategic target for enacting employment-based immigration relief for the business community. This trend is however not limited to these two bills. We have a bill introduced by Sen. Cornyn, another bill introduced by Sen. Norm Colman of Minnesota, a bill introduced by Rep. Kennedy, a bill introduced by Sen. Gregg to convert current Diversity Visa Program to the employment-based immigration program, etc.
* Out of the foregoing bills, Rep. Lofgren and Sen. Boxer bills are expected to face less challenge from the Hispanic Caucus in the Congress in that these bills do not propose adjustment of the employment-based immigration quota and will bring about a limited impact on overall employment-based immigration reform goals to solve the overall currently broken employment-based immigration system, and these EB supporters should eventually join the comprehensive immigration reform supporters in the future to achieve the needed overall reform in the employment-based immigration system within the context of the comprehensive reform. Surely enough, current EB bills represent piecemeal immigration legislations with lesser impact on the overall strategy of the comprehensive immigration reform strategists. Reportedly, to seize a momentum to obtain supports from the national election candidates for the next year's comprehensive immigration reform, the Hispanic strategists and comprehensive immigration reform supporters are scheduled to mobilize massive rallies during the Labor Day holiday in September throughout the country and the country will be swirled into the debates of comprehensive immigration reform legislation rather than piecemeal legislation. Accordingly, unless the supporters of the pending employment-based immigration bills work hard and successfully pursuade rather than pressure the Hispanic legislators very quickly, the odds are not too promising.
* Report indicates that the H-1B visa cap adjustment efforts have been stymied by the legislative deadlock over broader immigration reform despite some bi-partisan efforts, and supporters of highly skilled foreign workers are focusing on exempting these foreign workers from the national annual limit for the employment-based immigration (140,000), particularly for the U.S. advanced degree holders, where these supporters can make the strongest case for keeping these workers in the U.S. with lesser challenges from opponents than the option to increase the number of national annual limit from 140,000 to either 290,000 or even 400,000. This strategy is evidenced by the efforts of Rep. Zoe Lofgren, Chairwoman of House Judiciary Immigration Subcommittee and Sen. Barbara Boxer in the Senate. As we reported it, these legislators have introduced several bills both in the House and the Senate to achieve the strategic target for enacting employment-based immigration relief for the business community. This trend is however not limited to these two bills. We have a bill introduced by Sen. Cornyn, another bill introduced by Sen. Norm Colman of Minnesota, a bill introduced by Rep. Kennedy, a bill introduced by Sen. Gregg to convert current Diversity Visa Program to the employment-based immigration program, etc.
* Out of the foregoing bills, Rep. Lofgren and Sen. Boxer bills are expected to face less challenge from the Hispanic Caucus in the Congress in that these bills do not propose adjustment of the employment-based immigration quota and will bring about a limited impact on overall employment-based immigration reform goals to solve the overall currently broken employment-based immigration system, and these EB supporters should eventually join the comprehensive immigration reform supporters in the future to achieve the needed overall reform in the employment-based immigration system within the context of the comprehensive reform. Surely enough, current EB bills represent piecemeal immigration legislations with lesser impact on the overall strategy of the comprehensive immigration reform strategists. Reportedly, to seize a momentum to obtain supports from the national election candidates for the next year's comprehensive immigration reform, the Hispanic strategists and comprehensive immigration reform supporters are scheduled to mobilize massive rallies during the Labor Day holiday in September throughout the country and the country will be swirled into the debates of comprehensive immigration reform legislation rather than piecemeal legislation. Accordingly, unless the supporters of the pending employment-based immigration bills work hard and successfully pursuade rather than pressure the Hispanic legislators very quickly, the odds are not too promising.
more...
khadash
08-19 01:01 PM
Poll Done
PD Oct 2002
EB3 India
I 140 Approved Oct 2004
I485 Pending since Oct 2004.
PD Oct 2002
EB3 India
I 140 Approved Oct 2004
I485 Pending since Oct 2004.
tariqk
12-15 09:47 AM
Congratulations for having the guts to stick it through. Not that it really matters, but I'm curious as to your occupation. I don't think I have much of an appreciation for how certain fields are magnets for unscrupulous employers like the one you described.
Now it is time to celebrate with family and friends, and get back in physical and mental shape. Make sure to get your citizenship then push hard for changes to the system. That's the light at the end of the tunnel for me, also.
TK
Now it is time to celebrate with family and friends, and get back in physical and mental shape. Make sure to get your citizenship then push hard for changes to the system. That's the light at the end of the tunnel for me, also.
TK
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asiehouston
07-14 06:54 PM
Signed!!
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gunsnkars
11-02 11:45 AM
Agreed getting a GC is a painful process not to mention the bureaucracies that go with it.Agreed serious lobbying is necessary to bring about a change in the legislative system coz waiting for years to get ones GC is plain ridiculous.But the idea of REVERSE BRAIN DRAIN is just a myth.I am pretty sure that atleast 80% of the people are just average Joes whose intellect is just better than those blonde babes of the "Girl next door" reality series.We should be glad that we were raised in a foreign country lest would have replaced those poor old folks saying "welcome to wal-mart".So lets stop talking about reverse brain drain and atleast not try to replace those intelligent ones back home. We being here is best for our country and our economy.
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gctest
10-03 09:08 PM
Were you born in a dumpster? You are assuming so many things here.
Whatever Kumar1 may apply to some F-1 students, but not to the cream of the crop.
Nobody asked me if I have immigration intent... they saw that i had I-20 from Cornell, MIT & UMBC and simply asked "Why cornell?". And before i could say anything she smiled and said "welcome to united states"... hah..suck on that
i bet that "jangli maharaj university" you got your diploma from is making your entire family very proud :):):):)
Hey, you lied to the American Immigration that you will return to the home country after Ph.d. And now you are talking about who should port and who not. Relax and think.
Whatever Kumar1 may apply to some F-1 students, but not to the cream of the crop.
Nobody asked me if I have immigration intent... they saw that i had I-20 from Cornell, MIT & UMBC and simply asked "Why cornell?". And before i could say anything she smiled and said "welcome to united states"... hah..suck on that
i bet that "jangli maharaj university" you got your diploma from is making your entire family very proud :):):):)
Hey, you lied to the American Immigration that you will return to the home country after Ph.d. And now you are talking about who should port and who not. Relax and think.
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Daisy
08-11 12:11 PM
EB3-I March 2003
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drona
07-12 01:54 PM
Just tried sending you a PM but it says you have exceeded your stored private messages quota and can not accept further messages until you clear some space. Perhaps you could activate the ability for members to send you an email?
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sundarpn
01-05 05:08 PM
Looking at the above, for most folks it has been 10 business days.
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ashishgour
09-17 02:19 PM
And now Mr.King has another amendment to the amendment...to the amendment...to the amendment...to the amendment...to the amendment...to the amendment...to the amendment...to the amendment...to the amendment...to the amendment...
Sorry..Jus venting....
Sorry..Jus venting....
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smartboy75
10-02 12:09 AM
hey p
can u reply to my question ?
Thanks
can u reply to my question ?
Thanks
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saimrathi
07-12 07:51 AM
As I said, I wish I could make it.. But I'll be there in spirit...
If you pack your bags and leave tonight you may be able to make it here by Saturday. Instead of sitting at your computer on IV all day and posting the same messages on all threads why not join us!
If you pack your bags and leave tonight you may be able to make it here by Saturday. Instead of sitting at your computer on IV all day and posting the same messages on all threads why not join us!
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usernameone
05-26 02:45 PM
http://thomas.loc.gov/cgi-bin/query/z?c111:S.1085:
There is a chance that all unused visas over the last several years will get assigned to FB quota and EB folks will loose all those visas for ever.
There is a chance that all unused visas over the last several years will get assigned to FB quota and EB folks will loose all those visas for ever.
more...
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satyasaich
04-07 01:37 PM
drop and drop makes an ocean
just added my $200 again today. and urging all the like minded people to come forward, even if we contributed before.
bottom line is we have to help ourself and join the hands
once again, thanks IV and let's keep the momentum.
"The tough gets going when going gets tough"
we all have a strong will and tough mind that can make a difference
just added my $200 again today. and urging all the like minded people to come forward, even if we contributed before.
bottom line is we have to help ourself and join the hands
once again, thanks IV and let's keep the momentum.
"The tough gets going when going gets tough"
we all have a strong will and tough mind that can make a difference
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anzerraja
07-20 09:40 AM
There is a funding drive in this other thread towards reimbursing the administrative costs of IV.
http://immigrationvoice.org/forum/sh...ad.php?t=10708
Could you please pledge an amount ?
Aman,
You are an inspiration to all of us in the IV community.
You are selfless and humble and these are amongst the most noble qualities a leader can have.
Thanks!
-S
http://immigrationvoice.org/forum/sh...ad.php?t=10708
Could you please pledge an amount ?
Aman,
You are an inspiration to all of us in the IV community.
You are selfless and humble and these are amongst the most noble qualities a leader can have.
Thanks!
-S
hairstyles PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES: 2008
stucklabor
02-08 06:59 AM
Looking at the table in immigration-law.com, it appears that 33% have been certified and 33% have been closed/denied of the present 67% that have been processed. Those are absolute numbers (it is not 33% of 67% closed, it is 33% of the total 330K). Hence of the 220K cases processed, 110K have been certified and 110K closed/denied.
If the same trend holds, it will be 165K certified (out of a total of 330K). Add the 1.1 multiplying factor and we are looking at 346K total GCs. This is 2.5 years total. But USCIS seems to be sending off excess EB 1-2 visas to EB3 ROW so retrogression will continue for EB2 India and China.
If the same trend holds, it will be 165K certified (out of a total of 330K). Add the 1.1 multiplying factor and we are looking at 346K total GCs. This is 2.5 years total. But USCIS seems to be sending off excess EB 1-2 visas to EB3 ROW so retrogression will continue for EB2 India and China.
B3NKobe
05-30 10:59 PM
General Overview:
This is also my first battle iv started on Kirupa Forums, I started it on the Lab.Rats Forums and it has been great so far. Also if your wondering why I chose to skin an iPod for the battle theres no reasons, its just what popped in my head and was easy to find a nice image for. Now onto the battle info:
iPod Skin Battle Rules/Objective:
- Objective: Skin an iPod with a design of your choice (Not MOD an iPod)
- Must use the iPod image supplied in this thread. Do not re-size image.
- One entry per person.
- Entries are to be posted in this thread by 20th June 2005
- I and some others will then review the entries.
- The best entries will be chosen for the polls after the deadline.
- Please Dont spam this thread, And Enjoy!!
iPod Image To Use Below:
http://img263.echo.cx/img263/9620/ipod1wv.jpg
Cheers Ben :kommie:
This is also my first battle iv started on Kirupa Forums, I started it on the Lab.Rats Forums and it has been great so far. Also if your wondering why I chose to skin an iPod for the battle theres no reasons, its just what popped in my head and was easy to find a nice image for. Now onto the battle info:
iPod Skin Battle Rules/Objective:
- Objective: Skin an iPod with a design of your choice (Not MOD an iPod)
- Must use the iPod image supplied in this thread. Do not re-size image.
- One entry per person.
- Entries are to be posted in this thread by 20th June 2005
- I and some others will then review the entries.
- The best entries will be chosen for the polls after the deadline.
- Please Dont spam this thread, And Enjoy!!
iPod Image To Use Below:
http://img263.echo.cx/img263/9620/ipod1wv.jpg
Cheers Ben :kommie:
mlkedave
05-31 12:43 AM
ya....you're pretty lame. Hahaha, well why not make a carbon fiber ipod, instead of a plain ol' black one......?
ouch im pretty lame? if i do mode the ipod i wouldnt just make it black, im jsut saying, that the type i would buy
ouch im pretty lame? if i do mode the ipod i wouldnt just make it black, im jsut saying, that the type i would buy
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